02. 26.04.2012

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Transcript of 02. 26.04.2012

Hoja1Javier y Andreina son pareja y utilizan los servicios del hotel montaa suites. Los vehculos con los clientes llegan a la recepecin siguiendo una distribucin exponencial de media 5min y el tiempo de atencin en la recepcin es de triangular (2, 3 ,4) min. Andreina es muy penosa y no le agrada la idea de que mientras estan en a recepcin llegue otra pareja. Usando 100 replicaciones determine la probabilidad de que otra pareja llegue mientras javier y andreina estan en la recepcin y estime el promedio de tiempo que las dos parejas van a estar en ese sitiouLlegadasServiciotiempos entre llegadas (llegada y siguiente)tiempo de servicio de JyA (recepcion)Evento de coincidenciat de coincidencia0.84814285190.47982084749.42407507722.979613033200min20.65716383260.92333179675.352512963.608418071600moda30.26093460850.15124086961.51184437732.54998339911.0381390217max40.57866932830.08120967194.32168655072.4030128334000.2683236820.15933783341.56208525672.564513655111.00242839830.31568783870.04421832471.89670544652.297383001310.40067755480.38138823120.96419711962.401386973.732407472411.33102050230.68366296820.21301600865.75473538772.6527112817000.51711083270.87404396533.63984059423.4980915728000.26047795260.51987599381.5087559173.020077547811.51132163090.74953665330.48559359136.92221344912.9854882965000.48405814520.6430422033.30880602193.1550647398000.24316443840.78406857971.39304636463.342837279911.94979091530.92807601170.469611089113.16072717832.9691347575000.44570970760.97097472232.95033367983.759063171210.80872949140.21704231890.33676870141.22338315782.820693245311.59731008740.15831866540.63859799240.8617689943.149821186412.28805219240.86331293820.01685928459.95030593292.1836261663000.4611270640.79798610963.09137738043.364368203410.2729908230.98449571110.470537434220.8331929592.9700901342000.48309836950.82265383583.29951346173.404439483910.10492602220.83654640110.73581878859.05613063963.2731145737000.93632794110.385369126513.77004723892.8779169966000.53653590720.78292828673.84513183293.3411043887000.74714403150.8663970216.87467623433.4830803177000.5907923010.84111313044.46766215113.4362857646000.50475707660.10499618553.51353441212.4582492455000.60342535170.06794372534.62445493792.3686291506000.03796602710.68505547670.19352757033.206344503813.01281693350.5936827480.48338002214.50310507842.9832395661000.02250390410.36529533540.11380490572.854745968612.7409410630.3701347610.87349699362.31124694393.497002969311.18575602540.39703194950.95328727492.52945533943.694344229311.16488888980.6544618380.28200515075.31326093762.7510061926000.73384227950.33984019366.61833105922.8244273086000.29467005930.05134208381.74544792322.320443704410.57499578120.9147531330.795985345512.31101957013.361228281000.91204762260.246405179312.15479888242.7020045289000.12725742430.01131492840.68057319922.150432233311.4698590340.93360434340.753041046913.56061818723.2972070673000.57622655390.30727390364.2927814592.7839309964000.09170291870.55511149920.48091885913.056720083112.5758012240.37657924770.17023730032.36266811672.583502014210.22083389740.71078740030.16294029526.20296611152.570859519000.78446059050.48430641417.67305755682.9841812985000.73797727290.44216173616.69662017162.9403847469000.88183751820.443460524510.67847318712.9417648587000.69365714710.88761881555.91525184933.5259089022000.41925385930.64897746092.71720776373.162118696910.44491093310.58602989280.41935412844.40980756272.9158101642000.55411259230.43438088354.03844403982.9320739064000.37061174790.94561110092.31503479923.670185206111.3551504070.36238177840.02742902932.25007786762.2342179722000.1281773150.30591898050.6858460932.782200716512.09635462350.69391942670.73874657285.91953450173.277153644000.82904700870.27308379498.83183332442.7390315215000.04135488220.27589255210.21117163532.742822390812.53165075550.29747656960.35002722591.76538262712.836692567111.071309940.96550275010.989342491916.83437835333.854003369000.64801067130.64165411725.22077210073.1534235027000.13958586990.26966113830.75170729492.734385645711.98267835070.76431783950.55288055147.22635579513.0543579445000.71104421740.12347028526.20740801932.4969311526000.09921456730.67297132440.52244096643.191261877212.66882091080.09909702820.93196039680.5217885833.63111084813.1093222650.80276542290.82785638498.116807563.4132400575000.50439575760.37564564423.50988784592.8667706088000.67350037710.88212491275.59663242673.5144588847000.74902866240.70619111196.91208269533.2334376893000.1597061920.96841178420.87001838423.748650777612.87863239340.43659283970.69335851452.86876357263.216876145910.34811257320.81076257710.79046426428.32376423293.3526427017000.650985540.98241074455.26320962493.8124406469000.40241123680.84614691652.57426224313.445287311310.87102506810.81318696090.61744165158.38823476493.1252905071000.21027777460.90495471021.18037004373.564006216112.38363617240.63215513460.61317508175.00046995533.1204263325000.25981452310.20691355991.50427239852.643293960611.13902156210.12897623480.49508609470.69043008742.995073961812.30464387430.72829188670.00817058856.51513450822.1278326134000.5645154540.68940992884.15647984453.2118501776000.25733864670.82039530731.48757560513.400659207711.91308360260.86015024640.11796194049.8359331052.4857199612000.0072021550.11281173420.03614107882.474998387912.43885730910.75768652390.79330753797.08761517713.3570498276000.00739477940.62504308920.03711128153.134024352713.09691307130.55574473270.96417194784.05677977723.7323134211000.93577289540.103850974613.72664983692.4557432932000.30628140930.62916711141.82844444823.138799804311.3103553560.897809220.124327637311.4045691022.4986534615000.35717813620.95566139722.20943816123.702212818311.49277465710.56339713660.64295827764.1436563823.154965418000.51342066630.36677045473.60177660142.8564700283000.82931264480.03381968138.83960864062.2600756862000.62367104360.56878699794.88645816983.0713310578000.30487252850.76938509441.81830019023.32086097811.50256078780.10797459470.00755544470.57130332782.122926357911.55162303010.19378427970.28568254081.0770196462.755886950311.67886730430.78600303390.66672225827.70896720543.1835715073000.46948583690.50089155343.16954311853.000891951100P de coincidir0.41Promedio de espera3.02585412132)determine una cota superior con 90% de confianza del tiempo max que andreina pasar apenada junto con otra pareja. Porqu es menor a 4 min?

Financiero:ver formula 3

Hoja2

Hoja3