Estudio Financiero Concreto Premezclado

Post on 13-Dec-2015

12 views 5 download

description

Análisis de rentabilidad de producción de concreto premezclado

Transcript of Estudio Financiero Concreto Premezclado

Valor de planta 6,227,911.02 Silos 450,000.00 Equipo de transporte 2,491,164.41 Instalaciones 934,186.65 Terreno 1,500,000.00

11,603,262.08

Factor de Lang 3.1Costo de la planta 35,970,112.45

Costo fijo 35,970,112.45 Costos directos 25,179,078.72 Costos Indirectos 10,791,033.74 Ingeniería y supervisión 2,589,848.10

Capital fijo 44,962,640.56 Capital de trabajo 8,992,528.11

Costo concreto/m3 1608.04

CIT COSTO DE INVERSIÓN TOTALVE VIDA ECONÓMICA DE LA PLANTA (AÑOS)TASA DE REF TASA MÍNIMA ATRACTIVA DE RETORNOCAM COSTO ANUAL DE MANTENIMIENTOIACM INCREMENTO ANUAL EN EL COSTO DE MANTENIMIENTOCOA COSTO DE OPERACIÓN ANUAL (% DE LA INVERSIÓN)IACO INCREMENTO ANUAL EN EL COSTO DE OPERACIÓNIACMP INCREMENTO ANUAL EN EL COSTO DE LA MATERIA PIMAIAP INCREMENTO ANUAL ENLA PRODUCCIÓNCMP COSTO DE LA MATERIA PRIMACC/M3 COSTO POR M3 DE CONCRETO PRODUCIDOVS VALOR DE SALVAMENTO (% DE LA INVERSIÓN TOTAL)

PRODUCCIÓN (M3) EQUILIBRIODIARIO MENSUAL ANUAL 207.709923769043

1472 36800 441600

1 2 3 4 5

AÑO MANTENIMIENTO OPERACIÓN COSTO ANUAL

A=P(A/P,i,n) 0.03 de CIT 0.05 del COA 2+3+4

COSTO ANUAL DE INVERSIÓN

1 -$7,258,625.15 -$1,348,879.22 -$2,248,132.03 -$10,855,636.402 -$7,258,625.15 -$1,389,345.59 -$2,360,538.63 -$11,008,509.383 -$7,258,625.15 -$1,431,025.96 -$2,478,565.56 -$11,168,216.684 -$7,258,625.15 -$1,473,956.74 -$2,602,493.84 -$11,335,075.735 -$7,258,625.15 -$1,518,175.44 -$2,732,618.53 -$11,509,419.136 -$7,258,625.15 -$1,563,720.71 -$2,869,249.46 -$11,691,595.327 -$7,258,625.15 -$1,610,632.33 -$3,012,711.93 -$11,881,969.418 -$7,258,625.15 -$1,658,951.30 -$3,163,347.53 -$12,080,923.989 -$7,258,625.15 -$1,708,719.84 -$3,321,514.90 -$12,288,859.89

10 -$7,258,625.15 -$1,759,981.43 -$3,487,590.65 -$12,506,197.2311 -$7,258,625.15 -$1,812,780.87 -$3,661,970.18 -$12,733,376.2112 -$7,258,625.15 -$1,867,164.30 -$3,845,068.69 -$12,970,858.14

1 2 3 4M3 441,600.00 450,432.00 459,440.64 468,629.45

$186,310.83 $186,310.83 $186,310.83 $186,310.83$ $ 710,110,464.00 $ 724,312,673.28 $ 738,798,926.75 $ 753,574,905.28

$710,296,774.83 $724,498,984.11 $738,985,237.57 $753,761,216.11

-$7,258,625.15 -$7,258,625.15 -$7,258,625.15 -$7,258,625.15

-$1,348,879.22 -$1,389,345.59 -$1,431,025.96 -$1,473,956.74OPERACIÓN -$2,248,132.03 -$2,360,538.63 -$2,478,565.56 -$2,602,493.84

ISR 32% -$ 227,235,348.48 -$ 231,780,055.45 -$ 236,415,656.56 -$ 241,143,969.69

-$ 408,669,888.00 -$ 416,843,285.76 -$ 425,180,151.48 -$ 433,683,754.50 -$646,760,872.88 -$659,631,850.59 -$672,764,024.71 -$686,162,799.93

FLUJO $63,535,901.95 $64,867,133.52 $66,221,212.86 $67,598,416.18

VALOR ANUAL DE SALVAMENTO

COSTO ANUAL DE INVERSIÓN

MANTENIMIENTO

COSTO ANUAL DE MATERIA

PRIMA

44,962,640.56 12

12%3%3%5%5%2%2%

925.431608.04

10%

FACTIBLE TIR>TMAR

6 7 8 9 10

PRODUCCIÓN ANUAL

M3 $ ISR 32%

A=F(A/F,i,n) PA+IAP*0.02 7*CC/m3 32%*8 CMP*7

VALOR ANUAL DE SALVAMENTO

COSTO ANUAL DE MATERIA PRIMA

$186,310.83 441600.00 $ 710,110,464.00 -$ 227,235,348.48 -$ 408,669,888.00 $186,310.83 450432.00 $ 724,312,673.28 -$ 231,780,055.45 -$ 416,843,285.76 $186,310.83 459440.64 $ 738,798,926.75 -$ 236,415,656.56 -$ 425,180,151.48 $186,310.83 468629.45 $ 753,574,905.28 -$ 241,143,969.69 -$ 433,683,754.50 $186,310.83 478002.04 $ 768,646,403.39 -$ 245,966,849.08 -$ 442,357,429.59 $186,310.83 487562.08 $ 784,019,331.45 -$ 250,886,186.07 -$ 451,204,578.19 $186,310.83 497313.32 $ 799,699,718.08 -$ 255,903,909.79 -$ 460,228,669.75 $186,310.83 507259.59 $ 815,693,712.44 -$ 261,021,987.98 -$ 469,433,243.15 $186,310.83 517404.78 $ 832,007,586.69 -$ 266,242,427.74 -$ 478,821,908.01 $186,310.83 527752.88 $ 848,647,738.43 -$ 271,567,276.30 -$ 488,398,346.17 $186,310.83 538307.94 $ 865,620,693.20 -$ 276,998,621.82 -$ 498,166,313.09 $186,310.83 549074.09 $ 882,933,107.06 -$ 282,538,594.26 -$ 508,129,639.35

TIR

5 6 7 8 9 478,002.04 487,562.08 497,313.32 507,259.59 517,404.78

$186,310.83 $186,310.83 $186,310.83 $186,310.83 $186,310.83 $ 768,646,403.39 $ 784,019,331.45 $ 799,699,718.08 $ 815,693,712.44 $ 832,007,586.69

$768,832,714.21 $784,205,642.28 $799,886,028.91 $815,880,023.27 $832,193,897.52

-$7,258,625.15 -$7,258,625.15 -$7,258,625.15 -$7,258,625.15 -$7,258,625.15

-$1,518,175.44 -$1,563,720.71 -$1,610,632.33 -$1,658,951.30 -$1,708,719.84-$2,732,618.53 -$2,869,249.46 -$3,012,711.93 -$3,163,347.53 -$3,321,514.90

-$ 245,966,849.08 -$ 250,886,186.07 -$ 255,903,909.79 -$ 261,021,987.98 -$ 266,242,427.74

-$ 442,357,429.59 -$ 451,204,578.19 -$ 460,228,669.75 -$ 469,433,243.15 -$ 478,821,908.01 -$699,833,697.81 -$713,782,359.57 -$728,014,548.95 -$742,536,155.10 -$757,353,195.64

$68,999,016.41 $70,423,282.71 $71,871,479.96 $73,343,868.17 $74,840,701.88

11 12

FLUJO ANUAL FLUJO ACUMULADO

5+6+8+9+10 Σ

$63,535,901.95 $63,535,901.95$64,867,133.52 $128,403,035.47$66,221,212.86 $194,624,248.34$67,598,416.18 $262,222,664.52$68,999,016.41 $331,221,680.93$70,423,282.71 $401,644,963.64$71,871,479.96 $473,516,443.61$73,343,868.17 $546,860,311.77$74,840,701.88 $621,701,013.65$76,362,229.56 $698,063,243.21$77,908,692.90 $775,971,936.11$79,480,326.13 $855,452,262.25

Err:523 VAN $429,871,429.03

10 11 12 527,752.88 538,307.94 549,074.09

$186,310.83 $186,310.83 $186,310.83 $ 848,647,738.43 $ 865,620,693.20 $ 882,933,107.06

$848,834,049.26 $865,807,004.02 $883,119,417.89

-$7,258,625.15 -$7,258,625.15 -$7,258,625.15

-$1,759,981.43 -$1,812,780.87 -$1,867,164.30-$3,487,590.65 -$3,661,970.18 -$3,845,068.69

-$ 271,567,276.30 -$ 276,998,621.82 -$ 282,538,594.26

-$ 488,398,346.17 -$ 498,166,313.09 -$ 508,129,639.35 -$772,471,819.70 -$787,898,311.12 -$803,639,091.76

$76,362,229.56 $77,908,692.90 $79,480,326.13

Valor de planta 6,227,911.02 Silos 450,000.00 Equipo de transporte 2,491,164.41 Instalaciones 934,186.65 Terreno 1,500,000.00

11,603,262.08

Factor de Lang 3.1Costo de la planta 35,970,112.45

Costo fijo 35,970,112.45 Costos directos 25,179,078.72 Costos Indirectos 10,791,033.74 Ingeniería y supervisión 2,589,848.10

Capital fijo 44,962,640.56 Capital de trabajo 8,992,528.11

Costo concreto/m3 1608.04

CIT COSTO DE INVERSIÓN TOTALVE VIDA ECONÓMICA DE LA PLANTA (AÑOS)TASA DE REF TASA MÍNIMA ATRACTIVA DE RETORNOCAM COSTO ANUAL DE MANTENIMIENTOIACM INCREMENTO ANUAL EN EL COSTO DE MANTENIMIENTOCOA COSTO DE OPERACIÓN ANUAL (% DE LA INVERSIÓN)IACO INCREMENTO ANUAL EN EL COSTO DE OPERACIÓNIACMP INCREMENTO ANUAL EN EL COSTO DE LA MATERIA PRIMAIAP INCREMENTO ANUAL ENLA PRODUCCIÓNCMP COSTO DE LA MATERIA PRIMACC/M3 COSTO POR M3 DE CONCRETO PRODUCIDOVS VALOR DE SALVAMENTO (% DE LA INVERSIÓN TOTAL)

PRODUCCIÓN (M3) EQUILIBRIODIARIO MENSUAL ANUAL 234.306636023514

1472 36800 441600

1 2 3 4 5

AÑO MANTENIMIENTO OPERACIÓN COSTO ANUAL

A=P(A/P,i,n) 0.03 de CIT 0.05 del COA 2+3+4

COSTO ANUAL DE INVERSIÓN

1 -$8,651,474.49 -$1,348,879.22 -$2,248,132.03 -$12,248,485.742 -$8,651,474.49 -$1,389,345.59 -$2,360,538.63 -$12,401,358.713 -$8,651,474.49 -$1,431,025.96 -$2,478,565.56 -$12,561,066.014 -$8,651,474.49 -$1,473,956.74 -$2,602,493.84 -$12,727,925.075 -$8,651,474.49 -$1,518,175.44 -$2,732,618.53 -$12,902,268.466 -$8,651,474.49 -$1,563,720.71 -$2,869,249.46 -$13,084,444.657 -$8,651,474.49 -$1,610,632.33 -$3,012,711.93 -$13,274,818.758 -$8,651,474.49 -$1,658,951.30 -$3,163,347.53 -$13,473,773.329 -$8,651,474.49 -$1,708,719.84 -$3,321,514.90 -$13,681,709.23

10 -$8,651,474.49 -$1,759,981.43 -$3,487,590.65 -$13,899,046.5711 -$8,651,474.49 -$1,812,780.87 -$3,661,970.18 -$14,126,225.5512 -$8,651,474.49 -$1,867,164.30 -$3,845,068.69 -$14,363,707.48

1 2 3 4M3 441,600.00 450,432.00 459,440.64 468,629.45

$145,745.20 $145,745.20 $145,745.20 $145,745.20$ $ 710,110,464.00 $ 724,312,673.28 $ 738,798,926.75 $ 753,574,905.28

$710,256,209.20 $724,458,418.48 $738,944,671.95 $753,720,650.48

-$8,651,474.49 -$8,651,474.49 -$8,651,474.49 -$8,651,474.49

-$1,348,879.22 -$1,389,345.59 -$1,431,025.96 -$1,473,956.74OPERACIÓN -$2,248,132.03 -$2,360,538.63 -$2,478,565.56 -$2,602,493.84

ISR 32% -$ 227,235,348.48 -$ 231,780,055.45 -$ 236,415,656.56 -$ 241,143,969.69

-$ 408,669,888.00 -$ 416,843,285.76 -$ 425,180,151.48 -$ 433,683,754.50 -$648,153,722.22 -$661,024,699.92 -$674,156,874.05 -$687,555,649.27

FLUJO $62,102,486.98 $63,433,718.56 $64,787,797.90 $66,165,001.22

VALOR ANUAL DE SALVAMENTO

COSTO ANUAL DE INVERSIÓN

MANTENIMIENTO

COSTO ANUAL DE MATERIA

PRIMA

44,962,640.56 12

16%3%3%5%5%2%2%

925.431608.04

10%

FACTIBLE TIR>TMAR

6 7 8 9 10

PRODUCCIÓN ANUAL

M3 $ ISR 32%

A=F(A/F,i,n) PA+IAP*0.02 7*CC/m3 32%*8 CMP*7

VALOR ANUAL DE SALVAMENTO

COSTO ANUAL DE MATERIA PRIMA

$145,745.20 441600.00 $ 710,110,464.00 -$ 227,235,348.48 -$ 408,669,888.00 $145,745.20 450432.00 $ 724,312,673.28 -$ 231,780,055.45 -$ 416,843,285.76 $145,745.20 459440.64 $ 738,798,926.75 -$ 236,415,656.56 -$ 425,180,151.48 $145,745.20 468629.45 $ 753,574,905.28 -$ 241,143,969.69 -$ 433,683,754.50 $145,745.20 478002.04 $ 768,646,403.39 -$ 245,966,849.08 -$ 442,357,429.59 $145,745.20 487562.08 $ 784,019,331.45 -$ 250,886,186.07 -$ 451,204,578.19 $145,745.20 497313.32 $ 799,699,718.08 -$ 255,903,909.79 -$ 460,228,669.75 $145,745.20 507259.59 $ 815,693,712.44 -$ 261,021,987.98 -$ 469,433,243.15 $145,745.20 517404.78 $ 832,007,586.69 -$ 266,242,427.74 -$ 478,821,908.01 $145,745.20 527752.88 $ 848,647,738.43 -$ 271,567,276.30 -$ 488,398,346.17 $145,745.20 538307.94 $ 865,620,693.20 -$ 276,998,621.82 -$ 498,166,313.09 $145,745.20 549074.09 $ 882,933,107.06 -$ 282,538,594.26 -$ 508,129,639.35

TIR

5 6 7 8 9 478,002.04 487,562.08 497,313.32 507,259.59 517,404.78

$145,745.20 $145,745.20 $145,745.20 $145,745.20 $145,745.20 $ 768,646,403.39 $ 784,019,331.45 $ 799,699,718.08 $ 815,693,712.44 $ 832,007,586.69

$768,792,148.59 $784,165,076.65 $799,845,463.28 $815,839,457.64 $832,153,331.89

-$8,651,474.49 -$8,651,474.49 -$8,651,474.49 -$8,651,474.49 -$8,651,474.49

-$1,518,175.44 -$1,563,720.71 -$1,610,632.33 -$1,658,951.30 -$1,708,719.84-$2,732,618.53 -$2,869,249.46 -$3,012,711.93 -$3,163,347.53 -$3,321,514.90

-$ 245,966,849.08 -$ 250,886,186.07 -$ 255,903,909.79 -$ 261,021,987.98 -$ 266,242,427.74

-$ 442,357,429.59 -$ 451,204,578.19 -$ 460,228,669.75 -$ 469,433,243.15 -$ 478,821,908.01 -$701,226,547.14 -$715,175,208.91 -$729,407,398.29 -$743,929,004.44 -$758,746,044.98

$67,565,601.44 $68,989,867.75 $70,438,065.00 $71,910,453.20 $73,407,286.91

11 12

FLUJO ANUAL FLUJO ACUMULADO

5+6+8+9+10 Σ

$62,102,486.98 $62,102,486.98$63,433,718.56 $125,536,205.54$64,787,797.90 $190,324,003.44$66,165,001.22 $256,489,004.65$67,565,601.44 $324,054,606.10$68,989,867.75 $393,044,473.84$70,438,065.00 $463,482,538.84$71,910,453.20 $535,392,992.04$73,407,286.91 $608,800,278.96$74,928,814.59 $683,729,093.55$76,475,277.94 $760,204,371.48$78,046,911.17 $838,251,282.65

Err:523 VAN $350,450,524.34

10 11 12 527,752.88 538,307.94 549,074.09

$145,745.20 $145,745.20 $145,745.20 $ 848,647,738.43 $ 865,620,693.20 $ 882,933,107.06

$848,793,483.63 $865,766,438.40 $883,078,852.26

-$8,651,474.49 -$8,651,474.49 -$8,651,474.49

-$1,759,981.43 -$1,812,780.87 -$1,867,164.30-$3,487,590.65 -$3,661,970.18 -$3,845,068.69

-$ 271,567,276.30 -$ 276,998,621.82 -$ 282,538,594.26

-$ 488,398,346.17 -$ 498,166,313.09 -$ 508,129,639.35 -$773,864,669.04 -$789,291,160.46 -$805,031,941.09

$74,928,814.59 $76,475,277.94 $78,046,911.17

Costo de planta VAN TIR Prod. Diaria $ 6,227,911.02 $350,450,524.34 Err:523 1472 $ 5,000,000.00 #NUM! 100 $ 10,000,000.00 #NUM! 120 $ 15,000,000.00 #NUM! 140 $ 20,000,000.00 #NUM! 160 $ 25,000,000.00 #NUM! 180 $ 30,000,000.00 #NUM! 200 $ 35,000,000.00 #NUM! 220 $ 40,000,000.00 #NUM! 240 $ 45,000,000.00 260 $ 50,000,000.00 #NUM! 280 $ 55,000,000.00 #NUM! 300 $ 60,000,000.00 #NUM! 320

340360

VAN TIR Costo materia p. 925.43$350,450,524.34 Err:523 Precio de venta 1608.04

#NUM!#NUM! Costo materia p.#NUM! $350,450,524.34 500 600#NUM!

Prec

io d

e ve

nta

1000#NUM! 1100#NUM! 1200#NUM! 1300

1400#NUM! 1500#NUM! 1600#NUM! 1700#NUM! 1800#NUM! 1900#NUM!

Costo materia p.700 800 900 1000 1100

Costo materia p.1200