7/29/2019 Argentina Produccin de Soja 2012-2013 y Perspectivas 2013-2014

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Argentina Produccin de Soja 2012-2013 y Perspectivas 2013-2014

Eduardo Petazze

La produccin final de soja de Argentina para la campaa 2012/2013 alcanz los 49.3 millones de

toneladas para una superficie cosechada de 19.4 millones de hectreas (superficie sembrada de 20.0

millones de hectreas).

Nuestras primeras expectativas para la campaa 2013/2014 ubican la superficie a ser sembrada con un

crecimiento en torno al 4% sobre la campaa anterior y una expectativa de produccin de 56.6 millonesde toneladas (+14.8% Y/Y).

El siguiente es un resumen de los datos oficiales correspondientes a los ltimos cuatro ciclos y lasexpectativas para el venidero.

Ver Actualizacin:Argentina Soybean Production Forecast 2013-2014

Area Planted 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 Annual chg.

BUENOS AIRES 5,676,132 5,935,442 5,969,357 6,734,155 7,135,300 6.0%

CATAMARCA 53,000 53,000 37,000 24,300 24,300 0.0%

CHACO 668,600 700,800 689,550 548,230 548,200 -0.0%CORDOBA 5,128,640 5,054,390 5,014,250 5,349,312 5,514,600 3.1%

CORRIENTES 20,668 16,795 25,000 15,000 15,000 0.0%

ENTRE RIOS 1,468,000 1,468,000 1,331,700 1,418,600 1,461,900 3.1%

FORMOSA 6,100 6,100 12,000 10,000 10,200 2.0%

JUJUY 10,660 12,150 12,150 9,220 9,600 4.1%

LA PAMPA 405,400 402,300 396,875 447,400 479,100 7.1%

MISIONES 880 930 880 1,095 1,000 -8.7%

SALTA 586,385 599,515 600,015 557,760 573,800 2.9%

SAN LUIS 155,000 171,400 170,700 398,790 442,600 11.0%

SANTA FE 3,079,275 3,107,737 3,107,800 3,173,500 3,173,500 0.0%

SANTIAGO DEL ESTERO 811,500 1,100,000 1,073,000 1,148,210 1,211,300 5.5%

TUCUMAN 273,700 254,870 230,660 200,000 200,000 0.0%

Argentina Soybean 18,343,940 18,883,429 18,670,937 20,035,572 20,800,400 3.8%

Harvested (ha) 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 % harves table

BUENOS AIRES 5,609,544 5,843,343 5,795,495 6,625,050 6,988,200 97.9%

CATAMARCA 53,000 53,000 37,000 21,900 24,100 99.2%

CHACO 642,450 698,520 386,150 423,580 515,400 94.0%

CORDOBA 5,033,690 5,040,290 4,857,850 5,256,042 5,449,200 98.8%

CORRIENTES 19,895 16,615 25,000 15,000 14,300 95.3%

ENTRE RIOS 1,462,200 1,465,000 1,325,200 1,417,550 1,448,100 99.1%

FORMOSA 3,100 3,100 12,000 10,000 9,000 88.2%

JUJUY 10,660 12,150 12,150 7,524 9,400 97.9%

LA PAMPA 397,800 393,400 384,175 435,100 464,000 96.8%

MISIONES 850 930 636 1,095 900 90.0%

SALTA 586,385 599,515 528,374 318,174 558,300 97.3%

SAN LUIS 155,000 171,400 170,700 394,090 440,300 99.5%

SANTA FE 3,074,975 3,094,737 3,007,800 3,168,000 3,151,000 99.3%SANTIAGO DEL ESTERO 808,400 1,100,000 807,400 1,132,510 1,180,700 97.5%

TUCUMAN 272,850 254,227 227,390 193,210 198,600 99.3%

Argentina Soybean 18,130,799 18,746,227 17,577,320 19,418,825 20,451,500 98.3%

Production (t) 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 Annual chg.

BUENOS AIRES 17,054,947 15,465,223 15,396,122 17,812,808 20,895,900 17.31%

CATAMARCA 132,500 116,600 70,300 24,075 54,600 126.79%

CHACO 1,550,860 1,655,117 294,589 553,794 992,000 79.13%

CORDOBA 12,993,225 12,252,266 9,783,899 13,080,804 14,194,900 8.52%

CORRIENTES 34,845 29,068 25,000 18,000 25,200 40.00%

ENTRE RIOS 4,029,745 3,597,310 3,099,513 3,528,855 3,761,500 6.59%

FORMOSA 4,650 4,650 11,400 12,000 19,000 58.33%

JUJUY 28,878 34,635 30,670 11,564 26,000 124.84%

LA PAMPA 786,356 599,900 1,030,664 765,350 971,400 26.92%

MISIONES 2,212 2,284 564 2,842 2,000 -29.63%

SALTA 1,662,913 1,775,489 668,035 267,607 1,397,200 422.11%

SAN LUIS 268,300 402,420 296,890 678,444 999,700 47.35%

SANTA FE 10,432,721 9,741,349 8,176,630 10,509,390 9,982,600 -5.01%

SANTIAGO DEL ESTERO 2,949,636 2,467,800 873,010 1,768,179 2,810,300 58.94%

TUCUMAN 744,428 734,660 342,911 272,490 456,600 67.57%

Argentina Soybean 52,676,216 48,878,771 40,100,197 49,306,202 56,588,900 14.77%

Yield (kg / ha) 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 Over LT Avg.

BUENOS AIRES 3,040 2,647 2,657 2,689 2,990 13.24%

CATAMARCA 2,500 2,200 1,900 1,099 2,266 -10.05%

CHACO 2,414 2,369 763 1,307 1,925 5.45%

CORDOBA 2,581 2,431 2,014 2,489 2,605 2.77%

CORRIENTES 1,751 1,750 1,000 1,200 1,762 7.94%

ENTRE RIOS 2,756 2,456 2,339 2,489 2,598 12.55%

FORMOSA 1,500 1,500 950 1,200 2,111 11.53%

JUJUY 2,709 2,851 2,524 1,537 2,766 16.11%

LA PAMPA 1,977 1,525 2,683 1,759 2,094 6.40%

MISIONES 2,602 2,456 887 2,595 2,222 23.07%

SALTA 2,836 2,962 1,264 841 2,503 7.75%

SAN LUIS 1,731 2,348 1,739 1,722 2,270 21.16%

SANTA FE 3,393 3,148 2,718 3,317 3,168 8.74%

SANTIAGO DEL ESTERO 3,649 2,243 1,081 1,561 2,380 16.94%

TUCUMAN 2,728 2,890 1,508 1,410 2,299 -5.38%

Argentina Soybean 2,905 2,607 2,281 2,539 2,767 9.30%

Own estimate

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