Poblacion de Diseno (1)

25
30 METODO ARITMETICO AÑOS Pci K POBLACION P 2020 2025 1990 1966 25.88 2742 2872 1992 2026 25.52 2741 2868 2001 2289 23.14 2729 2844 2005 2394 21.90 2723 2832 2010 2509 20.80 2717 2821 2015 2613 Ʃ 13651 14237 PROMEDIO ( /7) Ʃ 1950 2034 TIEMPO POBLACION 1950 33,519 1962 55,782 1974 85,533 1982 101,691 1990 117,683 2001 145,036 2010 173,575 2015 186,790 2020 199,839 2025 212,887 2030 225,936 2035 238,984 300,000 METO

Transcript of Poblacion de Diseno (1)

Page 1: Poblacion de Diseno (1)

30METODO ARITMETICO

AÑOS Pci KPOBLACION PROYECTADA

2020 20251990 1966 25.88 2742 2872

1992 2026 25.52 2741 2868

2001 2289 23.14 2729 2844

2005 2394 21.90 2723 2832

2010 2509 20.80 2717 2821

2015 2613 Ʃ 13651 14237

PROMEDIO ( /7)Ʃ 1950 2034

TIEMPO POBLACION1950 33,519 1962 55,782 1974 85,533 1982 101,691 1990 117,683 2001 145,036 2010 173,575 2015 186,790 2020 199,839 2025 212,887 2030 225,936 2035 238,984

1950 1962 1974 1982 1990 2001 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 -

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

METODO ARITMETICO

TIEMPO

POBLACION

Page 2: Poblacion de Diseno (1)

METODO ARITMETICOPOBLACION PROYECTADA

2030 20353001 31312996 31232960 30762942 30512925 3029

14824 154102118 2201

1950 1962 1974 1982 1990 2001 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 -

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

METODO ARITMETICO

TIEMPO

POBLACION

Page 3: Poblacion de Diseno (1)
Page 4: Poblacion de Diseno (1)

METODO GEOMETRICO

ANOS Pci rPOBLACION PROYECTADA

2020 20251990.00 1966.00 0.0192 205222.30 225473.48

1992.00 2026.00 0.0186 205222.30 225473.48

2001.00 2289.00 0.0187 205222.30 225473.48

2005.00 2394.00 0.0182 204217.29 223270.53

2010.00 2509.00 0.0150 201225.88 216777.42

2015.00 2613.00

Ʃ 1021110.06 1116468.38PROMEDIO ( /7)Ʃ 145872.87 159495.48

TIEMPO POBLACION1950 33,519 1962 55,782 1974 85,533 1982 101,691 1990 117,683 2001 145,036 2010 173,575 2015 186,790 2020 206,257 2025 227,823 2030 251,725 2035 278,222

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

METODO GEOMETRICO

TIEMPO

POBLACION

Page 5: Poblacion de Diseno (1)

METODO GEOMETRICOPOBLACION PROYECTADA

2030 2035247723.03 272168.15247723.03 272168.15247723.03 272168.15244101.41 266875.79233530.85 251579.05

1220801.35 1334959.29174400.19 190708.47

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

METODO GEOMETRICO

TIEMPO

POBLACION

Page 6: Poblacion de Diseno (1)

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

METODO GEOMETRICO

TIEMPO

POBLACION

Page 7: Poblacion de Diseno (1)

METODO LOGARITMICO

ANOS Pci KPOBLACION PROYECTADA

2020 20251950 33,519 0.042 192,888.53 218,571.34 1962 55,782 0.036 237,805.05 269,468.43 1974 85,533 0.022 270,129.71 306,097.07 1982 101,691 0.018 262,943.40 297,953.91 1990 117,683 0.019 249,134.91 282,306.84 2001 145,036 0.020 233,219.47 264,272.82 2010 173,575 0.015 222,874.71 252,550.13 2015 186,790 - - -

Ʃ 0.172 1,668,995.79 1,891,220.54 K ( /7)Ʃ 0.025 238,428 270,174

TIEMPO POBLACION1950 33,519 1962 55,782 1974 85,533 1982 101,691 1990 117,683 2001 145,036 2010 173,575 2015 186,790 2020 238,428 2025 270,174 2030 306,148 2035 346,911

1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 -

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

400,000

33,519 55,782

85,533 101,691

117,683 145,036

173,575 186,790

238,428

270,174

306,148

346,911

METODO LOGARITMICO

TIEMPO

POBLACION

Page 8: Poblacion de Diseno (1)

METODO LOGARITMICOPOBLACION PROYECTADA

2030 2035 2040 247,673.77 280,651.15 318,019.42 150,260 305,347.73 346,004.31 392,074.25 250,062 346,853.42 393,036.41 445,368.61 383,432 337,626.01 382,580.39 433,520.38 455,869 319,895.56 362,489.16 410,754.03 527,559 299,460.34 339,333.02 384,514.69 650,178 286,176.79 324,280.79 367,458.28 778,115 - ### - 2,143,033.63 2,428,375.24 2,751,709.65 306,148 346,911 393,101

1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 -

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

400,000

33,519 55,782

85,533 101,691

117,683 145,036

173,575 186,790

238,428

270,174

306,148

346,911

METODO LOGARITMICO

TIEMPO

POBLACION

Page 9: Poblacion de Diseno (1)

778115.00 100173575.00 22.31

11.153557 99,802 133,370 72,437 0.04244515 71,690 122,619 127,937

1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 -

50,000

100,000

150,000

200,000

250,000

300,000

350,000

400,000

33,519 55,782

85,533 101,691

117,683 145,036

173,575 186,790

238,428

270,174

306,148

346,911

METODO LOGARITMICO

TIEMPO

POBLACION

Page 10: Poblacion de Diseno (1)

187185.96378

5.584528464340.171073846

Page 11: Poblacion de Diseno (1)

Año de Censo Poblacion iPOBLACION PROYECTADA

2020 20251990 1996 1.13 2810.74 2980.001992 2026 1.10 2763.60 2924.522001 2289 0.94 2737.90 2871.052005 2394 0.87 2728.23 2850.252010 2509 0.81 2720.81 2833.562015 2613

Ʃ 13761 14459PROMEDIO ( /7)Ʃ 1966 2066

TIEMPO POBLACION1990 1996.001992 2026.002001 2289.002005 2394.002010 2509.002015 2613.002020 1965.902025 2065.632030 2171.322035 2283.54

Page 12: Poblacion de Diseno (1)

POBLACION PROYECTADA2030 2035

3161.62 3357.003096.63 3281.143011.45 3159.702978.23 3112.612951.28 3074.31

15199 159852171 2284

Page 13: Poblacion de Diseno (1)

METODOSAÑOS ARITMETICO GEOMETRICO2015 2613 2613

2020 2751 2744

2025 3362 2881

2030 4090 3025

2035 4935 3177

2015 2020 2025 2030 20350

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

ARITMETICO

GEOMETRICO

LOGARITMICO

WAPPAUS

PROMEDIO

Page 14: Poblacion de Diseno (1)

METODOSLOGARITMICO WAPPAUS PROMEDIO

2613 2613 26132768 2745 27522931 2884 30153105 3032 33133289 3189 3648

2015 2020 2025 2030 20350

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

6000

ARITMETICO

GEOMETRICO

LOGARITMICO

WAPPAUS

PROMEDIO

Page 15: Poblacion de Diseno (1)

CALCULO DEL TANQUE DE RESERVA

HORAS C% C% Ʃ S% S% Ʃ Δ(S-C)0 1 0 0 4.16667 4.167 4.16671 2 0 0 4.16667 8.333 4.16672 3 0 0 4.16667 12.500 4.16673 4 0 0 4.16667 16.667 4.16674 5 0 0 4.16667 20.833 4.16675 6 0 0 4.16667 25.000 4.16676 7 12.5 12.5 4.16667 29.167 -8.33337 8 12.5 25 4.16667 33.333 -8.33338 9 12.5 37.5 4.16667 37.500 -8.33339 10 12.5 50 4.16667 41.667 -8.333310 11 0 50 4.16667 45.833 4.166711 12 0 50 4.16667 50.000 4.166712 13 0 50 4.16667 54.167 4.166713 14 0 50 4.16667 58.333 4.166714 15 0 50 4.16667 62.500 4.166715 16 0 50 4.16667 66.667 4.166716 17 12.5 62.5 4.16667 70.833 -8.333317 18 12.5 75 4.16667 75.000 -8.333318 19 12.5 87.5 4.16667 79.167 -8.333319 20 12.5 100 4.16667 83.333 -8.333320 21 0 100 4.16667 87.500 4.166721 22 0 100 4.16667 91.667 4.166722 23 0 100 4.16667 95.833 4.166723 24 0 100 4.16667 100.000 4.1667

http://dspace.utpl.edu.ec/bitstream/123456789/6543/1/TESIS%20UTPL.pdf

Page 16: Poblacion de Diseno (1)
Page 17: Poblacion de Diseno (1)

Δ(S-C)Ʃ V(%)4.1667 20.83338.3333 25.000012.5000 29.166716.6667 33.333320.8333 37.500025.0000 41.666716.6667 33.33338.3333 25.00000.0000 16.6667-8.3333 8.3333-4.1667 12.50000.0000 16.66674.1667 20.83338.3333 25.000012.5000 29.166716.6667 33.33338.3333 25.00000.0000 16.6667-8.3333 8.3333

-16.6667 0.0000-12.5000 4.1667-8.3333 8.3333-4.1667 12.50000.0000 16.6667

690.353281062.118656

Page 18: Poblacion de Diseno (1)
Page 19: Poblacion de Diseno (1)

HORAS C% ƩC% S% ƩS%0 1 0 0 4.16667 4.1671 2 0 0 4.16667 8.3332 3 0 0 4.16667 12.5003 4 0 0 4.16667 16.6674 5 0 0 4.16667 20.8335 6 0 0 4.16667 25.0006 7 12.5 12.5 4.16667 29.1677 8 12.5 25 4.16667 33.3338 9 12.5 37.5 4.16667 37.5009 10 12.5 50 4.16667 41.667

10 11 0 50 4.16667 45.83311 12 0 50 4.16667 50.00012 13 0 50 4.16667 54.16713 14 0 50 4.16667 58.33314 15 0 50 4.16667 62.50015 16 0 50 4.16667 66.66716 17 12.5 62.5 4.16667 70.83317 18 12.5 75 4.16667 75.00018 19 12.5 87.5 4.16667 79.16719 20 12.5 100 4.16667 83.33320 21 0 100 4.16667 87.50021 22 0 100 4.16667 91.66722 23 0 100 4.16667 95.83323 24 0 100 4.16667 100.000

BOMBEO DE 6:00-10:00 Y DE 16:00-20:00

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 240

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100Tanque de Reserva

ƩC%

ƩS%

Page 20: Poblacion de Diseno (1)

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 240

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100Tanque de Reserva

ƩC%

ƩS%

Page 21: Poblacion de Diseno (1)

Δ(S-C) ƩΔ(S-C) V(%)4.167 4.167 20.8334.167 8.333 25.0004.167 12.500 29.1674.167 16.667 33.3334.167 20.833 37.5004.167 25.000 41.667 0.41666667-8.333 16.667 33.333-8.333 8.333 25.000-8.333 0.000 16.667-8.333 -8.333 8.3334.167 -4.167 12.5004.167 0.000 16.6674.167 4.167 20.8334.167 8.333 25.0004.167 12.500 29.1674.167 16.667 33.333-8.333 8.333 25.000-8.333 0.000 16.667-8.333 -8.333 8.333-8.333 -16.667 0.0004.167 -12.500 4.1674.167 -8.333 8.3334.167 -4.167 12.5004.167 0.000 16.667

BOMBEO DE 6:00-10:00 Y DE 16:00-20:00

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 240

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100Tanque de Reserva

ƩC%

ƩS%

Page 22: Poblacion de Diseno (1)

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 240

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100Tanque de Reserva

ƩC%

ƩS%

Page 23: Poblacion de Diseno (1)

TANQUE ELEVADOHORAS C% ƩC% S% ƩS% Δ(S-C) ƩΔ(S-C)

0 1 1 1 0 0 -1.0 -11 2 1 2 0 0 -1.0 -22 3 1 3 0 0 -1.0 -33 4 1 4 0 0 -1.0 -44 5 2 6 0 0 -2.0 -65 6 4 10 0 0 -4.0 -106 7 9.5 19.5 12.5 12.5 3.0 -77 8 8 27.5 12.5 25 4.5 -2.58 9 7 34.5 12.5 37.5 5.5 39 10 4 38.5 12.5 50 8.5 11.5

10 11 3 41.5 0 50 -3.0 8.511 12 5.5 47 0 50 -5.5 312 13 9 56 0 50 -9.0 -613 14 5 61 0 50 -5.0 -1114 15 3 64 0 50 -3.0 -1415 16 2.5 66.5 0 50 -2.5 -16.516 17 3 69.5 12.5 62.5 9.5 -717 18 3.5 73 12.5 75 9.0 218 19 5 78 12.5 87.5 7.5 9.519 20 9 87 12.5 100 3.5 1320 21 8.5 95.5 0 100 -8.5 4.521 22 2 97.5 0 100 -2.0 2.522 23 1.5 99 0 100 -1.5 123 24 1 100 0 100 -1.0 0

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 240

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100Tanque de Elevado

ƩC%

ƩS%

Page 24: Poblacion de Diseno (1)

TANQUE ELEVADOV(%)

15.514.513.512.510.5

6.59.514

19.52825

19.510.5

5.52.5

09.5

18.526

29.5 0.2952119

17.516.5

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 240

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100Tanque de Elevado

ƩC%

ƩS%

Page 25: Poblacion de Diseno (1)

DATOShidrante = 2Q = 5L/seg x cada hidrantet = 2hcmd = 1041CMD = 1457v =0,23

Vdom=f*v*CMD f=1,2Vd=1.2vCMD(l/seg)((1m^3)/1000L)(86400seg/1dia)CMD = 1457(l/s)(1m^3/1(l))(86,4(s/1dia)CMD=125.884,8 (m^3/dia)Vd=1,2*0,295*125884,8Vd=44563,22 m^3

Vinc=Nhi*Q*tVi= 72 m^3

Vemerg=(Vdom+Vinc)*25%Veme= 11158.805 m^3

VT=Vdom+Vinc+VemeVT= 55794.025 m^3