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A qualitative analysis of the early warning process in disaster managementFlávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM | [email protected] | www.flaviohorita.com | www.agora.icmc.usp.br
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A qualitative analysis of the early warning process in disaster management
Flávio E. A. Horita1, João P. Albuquerque1,3, Victor Marchezini2, Eduardo M. Mendiondo2,4
1 ICMC, University of São Paulo, Brazil2 CEMADEN, Ministry of Science, Techn. & Innovation, Brazil
3 CIM, University of Warwick, UK4 NIBH/EESC, University of São Paulo, Brazil
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A qualitative analysis of the early warning process in disaster management
A qualitative analysis of the early warning process in disaster managementFlávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM | [email protected] | www.flaviohorita.com | www.agora.icmc.usp.br
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Introduction
Research designResearch process
Preliminary resultsEarly warning decision-making process
Conclusions Future directions
Agenda
A qualitative analysis of the early warning process in disaster managementFlávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM | [email protected] | www.flaviohorita.com | www.agora.icmc.usp.br
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Monitoring and early warning in Brazil
ANA CPRM IBGE INPE, ..
CEMADEN
CENAD
Civil Defense
Monitoring and early warning
Alerting municipalities
Response
agencies tasks
data sources
National plan for managing risks and resposes to natural disasters (2012)
Introduction
A qualitative analysis of the early warning process in disaster managementFlávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM | [email protected] | www.flaviohorita.com | www.agora.icmc.usp.br
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Monitoring and early warning in Brazil
Monitoring Room
Introduction
A qualitative analysis of the early warning process in disaster managementFlávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM | [email protected] | www.flaviohorita.com | www.agora.icmc.usp.br
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Research DesignResearch Methods
Define research question
Elaborate the protocol
Collect data with
practitioners
Analyze the collected
data
research process
• How is the early warning process operated by an emergency agency?• Statement: An early warning process can be modeled by means of
the Business Process Modeling and Notation (BPMN)
A qualitative analysis of the early warning process in disaster managementFlávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM | [email protected] | www.flaviohorita.com | www.agora.icmc.usp.br
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Research DesignResearch Methods
Define research question
Elaborate the protocol
Collect data with
practitioners
Analyze the collected
data
Coding technique (Saldaña, 2015)
Case study approach (Yin, 2009; Runeson & Höst, 2009)
methods
research process
A qualitative analysis of the early warning process in disaster managementFlávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM | [email protected] | www.flaviohorita.com | www.agora.icmc.usp.br
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Preliminary resultsEarly warning decision-making process
A qualitative analysis of the early warning process in disaster managementFlávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM | [email protected] | www.flaviohorita.com | www.agora.icmc.usp.br
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Preliminary resultsEarly warning decision-making process
A qualitative analysis of the early warning process in disaster managementFlávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM | [email protected] | www.flaviohorita.com | www.agora.icmc.usp.br
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Preliminary resultsEarly warning decision-making process
A qualitative analysis of the early warning process in disaster managementFlávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM | [email protected] | www.flaviohorita.com | www.agora.icmc.usp.br
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Preliminary resultsEarly warning decision-making process
Geologists
Meteorologists
Team
Hydrologits
Disaster management specialists
A qualitative analysis of the early warning process in disaster managementFlávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM | [email protected] | www.flaviohorita.com | www.agora.icmc.usp.br
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Conclusions
• The role of disaster management specialist is still confusion• They should take care of tasks related to the analysis of community
vulnerability, e.g. risk analysis
• The analytical features used in the work enable the identification of practitioners' processes
• There are a lot of data available from both static and dynamic features• All these data are not integrated in a way that allows a correlation or
"what-if" analysis.
• VGI data is still not integrated into all these data
A qualitative analysis of the early warning process in disaster managementFlávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM | [email protected] | www.flaviohorita.com | www.agora.icmc.usp.br
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• Brazilian Ministry of Planning, Budget and Management (2012) National plan for managing risks and resposes to natural disasters. http://goo.gl/8eJF0u.
• Object Management Group (OMG). (2013) Business Process Model and Notation (BPMN), Version 2.0 (formal/2013-12-09). [Online] http://goo.gl/ev6tUR.
• Runeson, P. and Höst, M. (2009) Guidelines for conducting and reporting case study research in software engineering. Empirical Software Engineering, pp. 131-164.
• Saldaña, J. (2012) The Coding Manual for Qualitative Researchers. 2 edition. SAGE Publications Ltd.
• Yin, R. K. (2009) Case study research: design and methods. 4. ed. Thousand Oaks: SAGE Publications, Inc.
References
A qualitative analysis of the early warning process in disaster managementFlávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM | [email protected] | www.flaviohorita.com | www.agora.icmc.usp.br
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A qualitative analysis of the early warning process in disaster management
Flávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM PhD Student, LABES, ICMC, University of São Paulo
Member of AGORA Research [email protected]
http://www.agora.icmc.usp.br | http://www.flaviohorita.com
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