Taller sequía Tucuman 2016
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Transcript of Taller sequía Tucuman 2016
IDMP - GWP project in CEE
Andreja Sušnik, ARSO – DMCSEE Sabina Bokal, GWPTetiana Adamenko, Ukraine
Training course on the use of satellite products for drought monitoring and agro-meteorological applications, 16-20 May, 2016
Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe May 20162 www.gwpcee.org
The Global Water Partnership's vision is for a water secure world
Our mission is to support the sustainable development and management of water resources at all levels
13 Regional Water Partnerships85 Country Water Partnerships3000+ Partners in 178 countries
Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe May 20163 www.gwpcee.org
FoodEcosystems Transboundary
Energy Climate Change Urbanisation
GWP Thematic Approach
Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe May 20164 www.gwpcee.org
• Population of 152 million people, a quarter of all Europeans
• Total area of over 2.03 million km2 • 12 countries in Baltic and Danube regions,
160 Partner organizations • Founded in 1998• Baltic region: Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania and
Poland • Danube region: Bulgaria, Hungary, the
Czech Republic, Moldova, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia and Ukraine
Facts and figures
Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe May 20165 www.gwpcee.org
Integrated Drought Management Programme
Increase the capacity of the CEE region to adapt to climatic variability by enhancing resilience to drought.
variability and change in precipitationincreased frequency of extreme weather events in the futurewell developed meteorological and hydrological monitoring but not as a support for decision makerslimited sharing of information among countrieslack of political will to solve the problem – drought was not considered a relevant issue
Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe May 20166 www.gwpcee.org
Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe May 20167 www.gwpcee.org
Cooperation with national governments
Solutions:cooperation with national governments to help them to incorporate drought management issues into their national programs, policies and plans
Preparation of the guidance document
Main challenges: Lack of political will to solve the problem – drought was not considered as a relevant issue.
Gaps in the implementation of the EU Water Framework Directive (WFD).
National Consultation Dialogues – acceptance at the policy level
Guidelines for preparation of the Drought Management Plans within RBMP
Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe May 20168 www.gwpcee.org
National Consultation Dialogues
1st round – setting the stage review of the current status 2nd round – how to overcome gaps in the current
drought management; developing Guidelines; national experiences and examples
3rd round – action plan/update for preparation of the Drought Management Plan
Parts of the Drought Management Plan
Process of preparation of the Guidelines
Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe May 20169 www.gwpcee.org
Step-by-step guidance towards Drought Management Plan
From crisis management to drought risk reduction
Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe May 201610 www.gwpcee.org
Translation of the Guidelines into 7 national languagesHungarian, Lithuanian, Romania, Ukrainian
Slovakian, Slovenian and Poland version – in progress
Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe May 201611 www.gwpcee.org
• Natural Small Water Retention Measures
• Increasing soil water holding capacity
• Drought impact on forest ecosystems
• Remote sensing agricultural drought monitoring methods
• Updating agricultural drought monitoring and forecasting in Ukraine & Moldova
Testing and describing new approaches towards proactive drought management
focusing on agricultural sector as one of the most vulnerable ones in the region
Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe May 201612 www.gwpcee.org
Natural Small Water Retention Measuresadaptive measure which serves to adjust to extreme
climate variability
it helps retain water in the land during wet periods and make this water more available for ecosystems, agriculture and forestry during drought periods
& slows down flood waves during flood periods
• improve the water conditions in the river basin• increase landscape resilience against the effects of
climate• preserve biodiversity of habitats that are strongly
related to water resources, including habitats and species of a great natural value
Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe May 201613 www.gwpcee.org
Guidelines on Natural Small Water Retention Measures
• What are technical and non-technical measures to increase water retention?
• How to choose the catchment for the retention measures?
• How can we evaluate the results of NSWRM in terms of flood protection, drought mitigation, and biodiversity increase?
• How can we incorporate the natural water retention measures in the RBMP, FPMP and DMP?
GIS based tool for identifying the areas whichare most suitable for the NSWRMs
Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe May 201614 www.gwpcee.org
Guidelines on Natural Small Water Retention Measures
CASE STUDIESLessons learnt from implemented projects in Poland,Slovakia, Hungary, and Slovenia including bestexamples of combined effects and involvement ofstakeholders
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Agricultural drought monitoring and forecasting in Ukraine and Moldova
• Working with rural authorities, farmers, local stakeholders• Upgrading of forecasting models for identification of crop yield
losses caused by droughts• Guide on best practices on soil conservation
Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe May 201616 www.gwpcee.org
Regional cooperation – continuation of the IDMP CEE
DRiDanubeDrought Risk in the Danube Region
• 3 November 2015 – Submitted Expression of Interest
• 547 EoI submitted & assessed • March 2016 accepted for 2nd step
(80 projects)• Waiting for results
Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe May 201617 www.gwpcee.org
www.gwp.org/GWP-CEE/IDMPCEE
www.gwp.org/GWP-CEE
http://www.droughtmanagement.info/
Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe May 201618 www.gwpcee.org
Agricultural drought monitoring and forecasting in Ukraine and Moldova
IDMP CEE Experience from demo projects
Tetiana AdemenkoChief of agrometeorological dept.
UHMC
Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe May 201619 www.gwpcee.org
Yields of main agricultural crops in Ukraine during the severe droughts of the 21st century (2003, 2007) and in the wet years (2008, 2013, 2014).
The heaviest losses from droughts are from 30% up to total loss of the crop. In 2003 and 2007 (spring drought)s losses in grain production in Ukraine amounted to more than 3 bln. Euro.
Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe May 201620 www.gwpcee.org
Monitoring of droughts in Ukraine is carried out by hydrometeorological stations
Collection and automated processing of information Generalization, systematization, analysis, use in drought models
Preparing expert opinions and recommendations Informing consumers of different levels
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Collection and processing of agrometeorological information in Ukraine
Ukrainian Hydrometeorological CenterControl synthesis, the use of service
Meteorological station area (188/135)Meteorological, phenological observations,
identification of stocks of productive moisture in the soil, the transfer to a Regional Hydrometeorological Centre
Regional Hydrometeorological Centre (25)Control, synthesis, transfer to Ukrainian Hydrometeorological Center
, the use of service
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Calculation on the model of a possible reduction in yield,%May-June 2012Wheat Barley
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Agroclimatic
zones From the total number of 189 weather stations135 stations provide the constant monitoring of the main agricultural crops
Marshy-over norm moisture zone
Forest-steppe-normal moiture zone
Steppe- lower moisture zoneMarshy-over norm moisture zoneForest-steppe-normal moiture zone; Steppe- lower moisture zone
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Intensification of aridityExceeding of the absolute maximums of air temperatures
(42)
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Increasing the number of days since a very high temperature (above 30 ° C) during the period 2006-2015
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The annual rainfall in Ukraine, mm Оptimum – 700 мм
Norm - 578 мм 2011-2015 - 544 мм
Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe May 201627 www.gwpcee.orgDrought 2007. May-June Drought 2010. July-August
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Drought 2015. June-August
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As part of the pilot project of the Integrated Drought Management Programme in Central and Eastern Europe:
• The agroclimatic zoning of the territory of Ukraine and the Dniester Basin was updated, drought increasing risk maps were made.
• The guidelines for drought management plans was adapted and published in the Ukrainian language.
• The drought indices were reviewed. The calculation of the SPI was introduced in operational practice.
• The "automated assessment of drought in Ukraine" model was upgraded, which increased the accuracy of the estimates of losses of winter wheat and spring barley.
Мониторинг и прогноз с/х засух в Украине и Молдове
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HTCs (ГТК) Aridity
<0.7 very arid
0.71-1 moderately arid
1.01-1.2 slightly humid
1.21-1.8 sufficiently humid
> 1.81 humid
New agroclimatic zoning
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SPI June-August 2015
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SPI November 2015 - April 2016
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The main elements of the Drought Management Plan -indicators andthresholds of droughts; early warning system; measures to mitigate climate change; organisational arrangements
Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe May 201634 www.gwpcee.org
Updating data estimates and forecasting tools to support the management and monitoring of droughts
• Drought risk maps for the agro-sector of Ukraine and the Dniester River basin
Agroclimatic zoning for May- September (1961-2013) according to Selyaninov's hydrothermal coefficients
Мониторинг и прогноз с/х засух в Украине и Молдове
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The problem – guiding approach to drought management
Reactive, crisis management based - events and actions after oncoming of droughtour task at the present stage is to go to
Proactive, based on the drought risk reduction management - Measures to prevent and reduce the impact of drought developed in advance in the Plan of drought management (PDM)
Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe May 201636 www.gwpcee.org
Сотрудничество с национальными правительствами
Decisions::Cooperation with Governments in the implementation of drought management plans in a national planningПодготовка Руководств по Планам управления засухами
Main challenges::
Lack of political will - the drought is not considered as a problem..
Problems with implementation of the Framework Water Directive.
National Dialogues - acceptability on the level of politicians
Drought management plans as part of the river basin management plan
Cooperation with national governments
Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe May 201637 www.gwpcee.org
Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe May 201638 www.gwpcee.org
Мониторинг и прогноз с/х засух в Украине и Молдове
• Work with rural athorities, farmers, local stakeholders• Updating predictive models for the identification of crop losses caused by
drought
• Guidance on best practice of soil conservation
Мonitoring and forecast droughts in agriculture
Drought Management measures in Central and Eastern Europe May 201639 www.gwpcee.org
Дякую за увагу !СПАСИБО! Thank you